The 2024 presidential election is still more than a year away, but polls are already showing how the potential candidates would fare in a rematch.
According to a recent NBC News poll, President Joe Biden leads former President Donald Trump by four points among registered voters, 49% to 45%, but the margin is within the poll’s error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. A similar result was found by a Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll for Newsweek, which showed Biden and Trump tied at 41% among likely voters. However, other polls have given Trump an edge over Biden.
A Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey shared with The Hill found that Trump beats Biden by six points, 51% to 45%, among likely voters. Another Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey showed that Trump also leads Vice President Kamala Harris by seven points, 49% to 42%, in a hypothetical match-up. Some polls have also tested other possible Republican contenders, such as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who has emerged as a popular figure among conservatives. A Morning Consult poll found that Biden leads DeSantis by two points, 42% to 40%, among registered voters. A Premise poll showed an even race between Biden and DeSantis, both at 32%, among adults.
These polls suggest that the 2024 election could be very competitive and depend on factors such as voter turnout, economic performance, public health and foreign policy. Who would you vote for in 2024?